Polling

in the late afternoon on Thursday, the 16th of September 2004 by Chad

Kerry Support Rebounds, Race Again Even makes the following mistake in its polling questions:

The second wave of polling also finds less acceptance of Republican criticism of the Democratic candidate. Fewer voters agree with the statement “John Kerry changes his mind too much.” Fewer think the chances of terrorism would increase if Kerry is elected. In addition, a substantial majority of voters (66%) believe Vice President Cheney went too far when he suggested recently that risk of terrorism would increase if voters “make the wrong choice.” That opinion remained steady through the polling period.

Repeat after me: Vice President Cheney did not suggest that the risk of terrorism will increase. He suggested that Kerry would treat it as law enforcement not as a war. At least this is on target:

Kerry’s slippage in the post-convention polls also has undermined confidence in his chances of victory, including among Democrats. The percentage of all voters anticipating a Bush victory climbed from 44% in August to 60% in September, a figure that held steady through the polling period. Among Democrats, the number predicting a Kerry victory fell from 66% in August to 43% this month.

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